Trade EverythingJul 11
free markets are responsible for our prosperity. letâs build more of them.
Tarek MansourWelcome back to the Pirate Wires weekly digest. Every week, the Tuesday Report delivers a brief, lead story. Then, a storm of fire links to catch you up on everything you need to know. Enjoy.
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Radioactive logic. Saturday, the German government closed its last four nuclear power plants, finally fulfilling Angela Merkelâs Fukushima-era promise to destroy her nationâs most abundant source of safe, clean, cheap power â in the middle of an energy crisis. To fill the giant hole in the nationâs energy portfolio, the famously âenvironmentally consciousâ Germans will be burning more coal, a degree of stupidity almost impossible to fathom. In America, this specific genre of Clown World policy was last observed at the Diablo Canyon power plant, which the state attempted to shut down in the middle of its own series of energy-related crises. At the last possible moment, following a tremendous groundswell of counter activism, that decision was reversed. But today, with the activist group âFriends of Earthâ trying to override this rare California flirtation with logic, and with activists around the world celebrating the end of German nuclear power, rational policy is once again on the wrong side of political momentum. So letâs just break it down: poverty and global warming are both real, and they exist because of âenvironmentalism.â If you stand opposed to nuclear, you are either 1) too dumb to comprehend the risks inherent of the technology, 2) dedicated to some nefarious ulterior motive, or 3) pseudo-religiously obsessed with the belief mass murder is not only inevitable, but necessary to keep the human population âin check.â There is no steelman for these positions. The debate is over. Nuclear is the way.
From Statista, mortality rates per energy source (per terawatt hour): hydro, 1.3; natural gas, 2.82; biomass, 4.63; oil, 18.43; coal, 24.62; and finally brown coal, 32.72. Global consumption of the latter two energy sources accounts for an annual mass causality event on par with the greatest war crimes in history. Meanwhile, with a mortality rate of .03 fatalities per terawatt hour, there is almost no energy path as safe as nuclear. In other words, people are going to die because of the German governmentâs decision, and thatâs before we broach the topic of climate change. The FernGully left has hysterically screamed about global warming for years, while consistently revealing a preference for greater emissions over nuclear power. Why? If the activist problem with nuclear isnât immediate mortal peril, and it isnât a matter of emissions, what could it possibly be?
Letâs start with dumb people. A good deal of anti-nuclear sentiment is a product of simple bias, perpetuated by our attention-obsessed media. It doesnât matter that nuclear is safe. Disasters like Chernobyl (30 confirmed deaths) and Fukushima (1 confirmed death, with a tragic handful on their way) trigger all our favorite horror notes in popular culture, making them the perfect fodder for our press. But Chernobyl and Fukushima arenât outlier events, well-known while strangely light on casualties. They are the two worst nuclear plant disasters in history. Three Mile Island (0 definitive causalities), despite a recent uptick in historical revisionism, ranks a distant third. Is anyone interested in comparing this record with other sources of energy?
Most of us have never heard of the Benxihu coal fire disaster, but it killed 1,500 people. A quick Google search brings up pages of similar catastrophes in oil, gas, and coal, which look like the majestic utopian gardens of Avatarâs Pandora next to hydro. In 1975, a disaster at the Banqiao dam resulted in the death of at least 100,000 people, with some estimates as high as 240,000 dead. Here, some might argue my focus is misplaced. The problem at Benxihu and Banqiao werenât the energy sources, but Chinese and Soviet engineering. And sure, maybe thereâs some truth to that. But Chernobyl was also a product of shitty Soviet engineering, and that disaster is credited entirely to the dangers of nuclear physics. Water: too dangerous a power for mankind to toy with?
Most of the fear and excitement surrounding each of our preferred sources of energy appears to be rooted, somehow, in aesthetics. The facts of a fuel source tend not to matter so much as how the fuel looks, and makes us feel, which is not to say how effectively it warms our bodies, but how it corresponds with our identities. At its absolute best, nuclear is elitist. The very fact of its existence proves some people are far smarter than other people, and to this day, admittedly, many proponents of nuclear energy are obviously just peacocking intelligence online. Nuclear science, totally alien to common sense, evokes an almost magical quality, impossible for most to understand, and therefore frightening. Then, at its worst, the split atom is a horror movie â often literally.
Itâs the waste, I think, glowing toxic green in our imaginations, filling up our cities, with a half-life of infinity or whatever, who cares, itâs a long ass time. Never mind that all the worldâs nuclear waste â in history â could fit inside a football field, or that coal also produces radioactive waste. The Simpsonsâ cartoon version of nuclear waste was scary as hell, and thatâs the kind of thing that sticks. Weâre also living in the long shadow of the Cold War, with legitimate concerns of nuclear war. That word nuclear is a key part of both concepts, and therefore, I guess, bad. But sunlight and wind? These are the fuels of Mother Earth, and that ancient boomer hippie mythology is powerful.
âRenewableâ energy is evocative of forests and fields and Adam and Eve, and any idiot can slap a solar panel on his car. Is it incapable of sufficiently fueling the global population at western levels of consumption, and possibly assembled from materials mined and processed by slaves? Sure, but I learned solar power was important as a kid while watching Captain Planet, and thatâs a better show than Chernobyl. Sorry, haters, it just seems nice to photosynthesize like a lazy patch of tulips, and most importantly itâs democratic.
In any case, with Germany, these questions donât even matter. The decision to close the nuclear plants was made with no alternative in place, which brings us directly back to coal, oil, and gas. Historically, a great bulk of German fossil fuel imports have come from Russia, an element of trade vital to the Kremlin not only economically, but geopolitically. Much as Chinese agents have posed as Americans to sow outrage over US plans to mine and process rare earth metals at home (a story for some reason increasingly difficult to search), there is a long history of Russian agents sowing activist division in the United States and Europe for strategic purposes, including the funding of environmental groups in Europe. Trump famously warned the Germans they were too dependent on Russian energy, and they laughed at him. But after the Russian invasion of Ukraine, his warning was revisited, and generally credited as prescient. A year ago, the Germans were scrambling for power. Why kneecap a clean source now? Are we right to credit this as simply incredibly stupid, or should we all be more suspicious?
Beyond idiocy and psyops, itâs always important to remember there are a good number of people terrified of population growth. From the horrors of Ireland to India, Malthusian anti-humanism has been used to justify draconian population controls for over a century. The general idea is our access to resources must necessarily decline as population increases, therefore a lower population is preferable. But, counterintuitive as it may be, Thomas Malthus has been wrong for almost two centuries. In fact, he was already wrong, counterfactually, at the time of his writing. Through history, as global population has risen, hunger has plummeted, and wealth per capita, in nearly all regions of the world, has increased. You already know the reason: technology. And with more people, come more opportunities to advance technology. Everything good in this world has followed the birth of a child. That goodness compounds. The evidence, which includes our entire modern existence, is irrefutable.
The subject of Malthusian anti-humanism was best framed by Robert Zubrin in a great book called Merchants of Despair. As fate would have it, he just published a new book called the Case for Nukes, which tackles the Malthusian question in the context of nuclear energy. Robert was kind enough to share an advanced copy with me, and itâs very good. If youâre interested in learning more about the history of energy, with an exhaustive debunking of all the really crazy anti-nuclear hysteria, check it out.
I donât care about ânaturalâ sources of energy, or mystical pagan thinking. At least, not in the context of powering the planet (because letâs not get it twisted, you know Iâm always here for a Tarot reading). But freezing to death? Also ânatural,â and Iâve never been a big fan. Thankfully, we now have heating. And refrigeration. And medicine. Because people smarter than most of us invented those things. Thank you, smart ancient people.
The ground floor goal is not just triumph over nature, but triumph over nature for every person on the planet, and after that weâre building solarpunk cities of glass and genetically-modified mega-flora, towering geodesic biospheres, floating palaces, and a Ringworld. That will take more than replacing our current energy sources with slave cells or the spirit of wind.
So get in, loser. Weâre building nuclear power plants.
Check out The White Pill, a new, regular Pirate Wires feature highlighting inspiring, and exciting developments in technology, engineering, physics, astronomy, space, and medicine. This week: a breakthrough malaria vaccine, a mind-bending artificial intelligence study, and a bunch of outer space news. (Pirate Wires)
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â Solana
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